China's fixed assets investment
expands 26.3% in 1st half(2008/07/21)
(Xinhua) -- China's fixed assets investment in the first half of 2008
rose 26.3 percent from a year earlier, up 0.4 percentage points from the
same period of last year, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said
Thursday.
The overall investment in assets stood at 6.8402 trillion yuan (1.0059
trillion U.S. dollars) in the first half of this year, said the NBS.
China's GDP up 10.4 percent in first half year(2008/07/18)
(Xinhua) -- The Chinese economy is in a dilemma, struggling for a delicate
balance between maintaining a healthy growth and taming inflation. The major
economic indicators released Thursday dampened expectations for a shift in
the nation's macro control polices, but some, manufacturers in particular,
still call for a fine tuning.
China's gross domestic product (GDP) grew 10.4 percent to 13.06trillion yuan
(1.9 trillion U.S. dollars) in the first half over the same period last
year, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS)said on Thursday.
The growth rate was 1.8 percentage points lower than the first half last
year, or 0.2 percentage points lower than the first quarter of this year.
The GDP included 1.18 trillion yuan generated by the primary sector, up 3.5
percent, 6.74 trillion yuan by the secondary sector,up 11.3 percent, and
5.14 trillion yuan by the tertiary sector, up10.5 percent. The growth rates
were 0.5 percentage points, 2.4 percentage points, and 1.6 percentage
points, respectively, lower than the first half last year.
The bureau's chief economist, Yao Jingyuan, said the double-digit GDP growth
indicated China's economy was still growing at a steady and relatively fast
pace.
"The cooling of GDP growth indicated the government's macro-economic policy
to prevent the economy from overheating has paid off," said Yao.
Last year, GDP grew 11.4 percent year-on-year with the risks of spiraling
inflation and economic overheating rising. To cool the breakneck growth,
China fixed its GDP growth target at 8 percent for 2008.
The slowing world economy and weaker demand on international markets also
adversely affected the economy, Yao added.
NBS spokesman Li Xiaochao said on Thursday that the economic growth was "in
line with macro-economic control targets" and was "achieved with painstaking
efforts".
GDP grew by 11.3 percent in the fourth quarter last year, 10.6 percent in
the first quarter this year and 10.1 percent in the second quarter.
"China avoided major ups and downs in economic growth in the first half of
the year, with growth slowing steadily," said Li.
With on-going industrialization and urbanization, China's economy would
remain robust and vigorous, as the need to narrow regional disparities would
continue providing opportunity for growth, according to Li.
However, observers said the Chinese economy was still beset with problems,
citing persistent price rises, uncertainties in demand abroad, squeezed
corporate profit margins, difficulty in ensuring energy and power supplies,
and undue expansion of foreign exchange reserves.
Early July found Premier Wen Jiabao, Vice President Xi Jinping and Vice
Premier Wang Qishan conducting field inspections on the economic situation
in developed Jiangsu, Shanghai, Shandong and Guangdong. The frequency of
such high-profile, on-the-spot researches by Chinese leadership in a short
period of time has seldom been seen over the past 30 years. Observers
believed this implied the grimness of the internal and external environment
of the Chinese economy.
SHADOW OF SLOWDOWN
According to the national statistical bureau, fixed-assets investment
nationwide amounted to 6.84 trillion yuan in the first half of this year, up
26.3 percent year-on-year. The growth rate was 0.4 percentage points higher
than the year-earlier level.
The total included 5.84 trillion yuan in urban areas, up 26.8 percent, and
996.6 billion yuan in rural areas, up 23.2 percent. The growth rates were
0.1 percentage points and 1.7 percentage points, respectively, higher than
the year-earlier level.
Retail sales stood at 5.1 trillion yuan nationwide, up 21.4 percent. The
growth rate was 6 percentage points higher.
The total included 3.48 trillion yuan in urban areas, up 22.1 percent, and
1.62 trillion yuan in rural areas, up 20.0 percent.
Zhuang Jian, senior economist with the Asian Development Bank PRC Resident
Mission, attributed the faster growth in consumption to expectations for
future higher income of workers and more allowances for low-income earners
upon enforcement of the new labor contract law and efforts by local
governments to raise welfare for the needy.
But the higher income would also affect the economy adversely, as it would
translate into higher labor cost for enterprises. This will add pressure on
corporate performance, which was already not so upbeat in the first half,
some economists believed.
Between January and June, major enterprises nationwide posted a16.3 percent
growth in their value-added output, down 2.2 percentage points.
According to the statistical bureau, the major loss-making industrial
enterprises nationwide recorded 91.7 billion yuan in losses in the
January-June period, up 56.1 percent on the same period of last year. The
growth was nearly 50 percentage points higher than the year-earlier level.
Major industrial enterprises reaped 1.09 trillion yuan in profits in the
first five months of the year, up 20.9 percent year on year. The rate fell
21.2 percentage points from a year ago.
Observers saw this as a signal for possible further economic slowdown. They
considered employment targets would, more or less, increase corporate
payrolls and enterprises' overall costs.
In the first half year, 6.4 million people were added to employees
nationwide, or 64 percent of the yearly target of 10 million which was more
than the nine-million level set for each of the past few years.
Moreover, the observers argued, foreign sales remained worrisome, although
the other two of the three major driving forces of the Chinese economy --
investment and domestic consumption, were brisk over the past six months.
The first-half foreign trade was 1.23 trillion U.S. dollars, up25.7 percent.
The total included 666.6 billion dollars in export value, up 21.9 percent,
and 567.6 billion dollars in import value, up 30.6 percent. The growth rate
for export was 5.7 percentage points lower. The trade surplus decreased 13.2
billion dollars to 99 billion dollars.
The slower growth of foreign sales was ascribed to ebbing demand abroad,
which will remain uncertain for the coming months as concerns are mounting
about credit risks in the U.S. financial regime. The credit risks have
helped drive the U.S. economy down and many related economies worldwide into
stagnation.
Traditional manufacturing sectors, which had lower added value, bore the
blunt in global price rises for raw materials, increasing labor cost and
expediting the appreciation of the Chinese currency (which gained more than
7 percent against the U.S. dollar, in comparison with the 6.9 percent gain
for whole of last year).
For example, China exported 9.87 billion U.S. dollars worth of garments and
accessories in June, down 15 percent from the same month last year. The
clothing exports for the first six months went up only 3.4 percent to 49.96
billion dollars.
Besides, Zhu Baoliang, deputy head of the economic prediction department of
the State Information Center, said that the gloomy equity market at home
would make it more difficult for enterprises. He added that more slowdown
risks would lie in the possible outward flow of international short-term
speculative funds.
LINGERING INFLATIONARY PRESSURE
China's consumer price index (CPI), a major inflation measurement, rose 7.9
percent in the first half year.
Over the past 30 years, China experienced four major periods of inflation
and one serious deflation. The highest CPI rise was 24.1percent in 1994. All
of past major inflations were triggered mainly by domestic factors only. But
this time, most experts believed, the inflation was ignited by external
factors and was cost-driven.
Though the Janunary-June index was lower than the 11-year-high 8.7 percent
for February, the inflationary pressure would remain in the coming months,
many believed.
The fast growth of PPI, which measures the value of finished products when
they leave the factory, will affect the CPI a few months later.
Price rises for oil and farm produce worldwide would likely continue and
shore up China's inflation, as the Chinese economy's reliance on the outside
world is now more than 60 percent thanks to its 30-year-long opening-up.
Meanwhile, prices of agricultural products at home, which were buoyed up by
short supplies after the severe winter weather and the May 12 earthquake,
will linger at a high level.
The rapidly expanding foreign reserves, which pushed up the central bank's
passive money supply, will add to the inflationary pressure.
China's forex reserves, which is already the world's largest, stood at 1.81
trillion U.S. dollars at the end of June, including280.6 billion dollars
increased in the past six months, with an average monthly increment of 46.8
billion dollars.
Observers warned of an inrush of huge short-term speculative funds as the
fast expansion was achieved in company with a slowdown in trade surplus
growth.
FINE TUNING SUGGESTED FOR MACRO CONTROL POLICIES
China has undergone several major economic ups and downs since it started
reform 30 years ago. Each of them was triggered by overheating, partly
resulting from decentralization, or pricing policy shifts or forex system
reform.
Among ensuing macro controls, the one in the 1984-1986 period was given up
halfway and that in the 1989-1990 period caused a hard landing. The macro
control drive in the 1993-1996 period ended up with a relatively serious
deflation, because no timely turnaround was achieved for then tight monetary
policy.
Early this year, Premier Wen Jiabao said 2008 would probably be the most
difficult year for the Chinese economy. Given so many uncertainties, it
would be hard for the central government to make decisions, he noted.
This week, the financial and economic committee of China's top legislature
decided to adhere to the tight monetary policy and prudent fiscal policy,
with efforts focusing on avoiding major economic ups and downs. They agreed
the current economic situation was good, putting taming inflation high on
the development agenda.
Some experts warned that post-disaster reconstruction, if out of control,
would also possibly re-ignite overheating.
Ba Shusong, deputy head of the research institute of finance under
Development Research Center of State Council, said given the combination of
various pressures at home and abroad, it was unsuitable to loosen the tight
monetary policy for the time being. It was necessary for the fiscal policy
to function more actively to ensure appropriate economic growth.
Wang Tongsan, economist with the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, said
that price control would still remain an important part of China's economic
policy, and that measures must be taken against the potential of inflation.
Some suggested the export tax rebate policy should be readjusted to bail out
the struggling manufacturers, those in the textile sector in particular.
China's CPI rises 7.9 percent in first half of 2008(2008/07/18)
(Xinhua) -- China's consumer price index (CPI),the main gauge of inflation,
rose 7.9 percent in the first half over the same period last year, 0.2
percentage points lower than the first five months, the National Bureau of
Statistics said on Thursday.
The figure, compared with 7.1 percent in June, 7.7 percent in May, 8.5
percent in April and a 12-year-high of 8.7 percent in February, was broadly
in line with most forecasts.
The prices rose by 7.6 percent in cities and 8.6 percent in rural areas.
Grouped by commodity categories, prices for food rose 20.4 percent,
contributing 6.64 percentage points to the overall CPI rise and prices for
housing were up 6.9 percent, contributing 1.02 percentage points.
Prices for other categories of commodities rose or dropped slightly.
Yao Jingyuan, chief economist of the bureau, attributed the slowdown of CPI
growth to the government's efforts to curb inflation.
The government has introduced a wide-range of measures, including increased
fiscal support for grain and food production, and raised the required
reserve ratio for commercial banks. But the central bank has not raised
interest rates to rein in investment growth so far this year.
RISING PPI
Despite a drop in the CPI growth, the producer price index (PPI), which
measures the value of finished products when they leave the factory, rose
7.6 percent during the first half, said the bureau.
The growth rate was 4.8 percentage points higher than the same period last
year. The PPI rose 8.8 percent in June from a year earlier, compared with
8.2 percent in May.
Meanwhile, the purchaser prices for raw materials, fuel and power rose 11.1
percent. The growth rate was 7.3 percentage points higher than a year
earlier.
Li Xiaochao, spokesman of the bureau, said the rising PPI imposed greater
pressures on inflation and the latest oil and power price rises could add to
the pressure.
EXPORT GROWTH DOWN, FDI UP
During the first half, the value of exports was 666.6 billion U.S. dollars,
up 21.9 percent. The growth rate was 5.7 percentage points lower than the
same period last year.
"Many export-oriented companies could face increasing pressures in the
second half of this year due to uncertainties in the global economy," said
Zhang Liqun, a macro-economist at the Development Research Center of the
State Council, the Cabinet.
The country had a trade surplus of 99 billion U.S. dollars, a decrease of
13.2 billion U.S. dollars over the same period last year.
The total value of foreign direct investment (FDI) actually utilized was
52.4 billion U.S. dollars, up 45. 6 percent. The growth was 33.4 percentage
points higher than a year earlier.
By the end of June, the foreign exchange reserves stood at 1,808.8 billion
U.S. dollars, up by 35.7 percent.
PROBLEMS REMAIN
Inflation was expected to slow in the second half, but China should remain
vigilant against high inflationary pressure due to rising prices of
commodities and oil on the global market, Yao said.
The bureau said in a statement that outstanding problems existing in
economic performance included persisting pressure for rapid price rises,
factors to constrain steady agricultural production and raise the income of
rural residents, and the severe international financial situation.
"We must continue to curb inflation," the spokesman said.
He said many countries, both developed and developing, suffered rising
inflation in the last two months. Globally, prices of primary products, such
as oil and grain, had risen more than 30 percent. Energy prices continued
rising in June with coal up 19.9 percent and oil 7.2 percent.
"With the further opening-up of Chinese economy, we are more vulnerable to
international factors," Li said.
He also said the post-quake reconstruction would drive up demand on building
materials, which could contribute to CPI rises.
"The government should continue encouraging the industrial transfer from the
economically developed eastern region to the less developed central and
western regions to help ease the pressure of rising production costs for
labor-intensive industries," he said.
"Meanwhile, it must further the reform of energy pricing to help solve the
shortage of coal, power and oil," said Zhu Hongren, deputy director of the
Bureau of Economic Operations with the National Development and Reform
Commission.
China's economy set to face
bumps from various tests(2008/07/16)
The Yangtze Delta and Pearl Delta regions have shown signs of an
economic slowdown and some economists said China's economy may face a bumpy
road because of various challenges.
They made their comments before China is set to release economic data for
the first half of the year on Thursday.
Hu Chunli, a researcher with the State Information Center, said the
advantages of low labor and raw material costs were disappearing in China's
coastal cities and this erosion made it harder for businesses there to grow.
Export-oriented firms in these cities suffered more from the appreciation of
the yuan.
According to the latest data released by the National Development and Reform
Commission, China's eastern areas grew 15.71 percent from January to May,
the lowest compared to the western, northeastern and the middle regions of
China's mainland.
The growth of the eastern areas also posted the sharpest slowdown of all the
regions, with the pace moderating 3.1 percentage points from a year earlier.
Meanwhile, Hu said tight credit control prevented small and medium-sized
companies from getting finance for further development.
Yu Bin, director of the macroeconomic research department of the Development
Research Center under the State Council, said the United States credit
crisis, natural disasters, the unstable performance of China's securities
and real estate markets as well as the surging costs of production, made it
possible that the nation's economy may experience a sharp slowdown this
year.
"Considering the combination of all these factors, China's economy may face
a sharp slowdown. It may feel like a sudden braking and the engine may not
be easy to restart," the National Business Daily said yesterday, quoting Yu
speaking at a forum in Beijing.
China's economic growth will likely moderate to 9.8 percent in 2008 from
last year's 11.9 percent, the World Bank predicted in its latest China
Quarterly Update last month.
But the World Bank was generally positive about China's economy as real
growth of exports and imports remained robust despite economic activity in
the country moderating in line with the global economy's slowdown.
In the first half of the year, China's trade surplus reached 99 billion U.S.
dollars, a decline of 11.8 percent from a year ago as export growth slowed
while imports expanded faster.
(Source: Shanghai Daily)
Officials: China should strive
for bigger voice in global economy(2008/07/15)
(Xinhua) -- Wan Jifei, president of China Chamber of International
Commerce said on Wednesday that the country needs to participate in the
formulation of global economic and trade rules apart from taking part in
international division of labor and competition.
Wan, also chairman of the China Council for the Promotion of International
Trade, said at a chamber meeting that with Chinese companies getting
stronger capabilities and the country having increasing influence globally,
to get a bigger voice is conducive to protecting the legitimate interests
and rights of domestic enterprises.
Zhang Yanling, vice president of the Bank of China, said China is engaged
closely with foreign countries economically and the scale of trade and labor
service export is keeping on growing.
Zhang added that Chinese companies should not only be familiar with existing
international rules, but should also play an active role in setting up these
rules and voice their opinions in international economic arena.
FDI in China up 45.6% in
Jan-June period(2008/07/14)
Foreign direct investment (FDI) in China rose 45.6 percent in the first
half of 2008 from a year earlier, as overseas investors continued to bank on
the business opportunities in the world's fastest growing major economy. The
FDI amounted to 52.4 billion U.S. dollars during the six months to June, the
Ministry of Commerce said on Friday.
The surge was attributed to the country's robust economic growth and
stronger yuan, analysts said. Others factors include the sluggish U.S.
economic growth and declining dollar.
China's economy expanded 10.6 percent year on year, in the first quarter.
The yuan gained 6.5 percent against the U.S. dollar in the first half.
The number of newly-approved foreign-funded companies totaled 14,544, down
22.2 percent from the same period last year, the ministry added.
China's forex regulator has urged greater supervision over the inflows of
short-term global speculative funds as a large-scale capital flight on
rising dollar could undermine the economy and financial security.
Analysts believed that tens of billions of dollars of "hot money" has
entered the country in the guise of trade and investment so far this year.
Exports increased 21.9 percent year-on-year to 666.6 billion U.S. dollars in
the first half, while imports rose 30.6 percent to567.57 billion U.S.
dollars, the General Administration of Customs said on Thursday.
Report: China CPI to rise 7.2%
in 2008(2008/07/14)
BEIJING, July 10 (Xinhua) -- China's consumer price index (CPI),the main
gauge of inflation, is expected to rise 7.2 percent year on year in 2008,
according to a Bank of China (BOC) report on Wednesday.
The report, released by the lender's global financial market department,
suggested the central government adopt more tightening monetary policies to
further tame inflation, drain liquidity and curb excessive investment.
China had been under inflationary pressure this year as the CPI increased
7.7 percent in May from the same month last year. The figure was 8.5 percent
in April, up from 8.3 percent in March and near the 12-year high of 8.7
percent in February.
The producer price index, another measure of inflation, accelerated to 8.2
percent in May after gaining 8.1 percent in April, according to the National
Bureau of Statistics.
The BOC predicted in an earlier report CPI in 2008 would increase 6.8
percent year on year. However, the report said "Rising prices of gasoline,
coal oil and electricity will push up the previously estimated figure."
China's National Development and Reform Commission had raised the price of
refined oil by 1,000 yuan per tonne as of June 20.
The report advised the government raise interest rates and reinin
appreciation of the yuan, the country's currency. China was very likely to
raise interest rates in the fourth quarter, it said.
The central parity rate of the yuan, or renminbi (RMB), was set at 6.8489
yuan on Thursday against the U.S. dollar, since the country un-pegged its
currency from the greenback in July 2005.
The yuan has risen more than 6.65 percent against the U.S. dollar so far
this year, in comparison with the 6.9 percent gain last year, and has broken
its own record value 52 times.
"A slower appreciation in the currency will help to make full use of the
domestic labor force, which is China's most sufficient resource," the report
explained.
It also forecast inflation might show a deceleration in June as food,
vegetables and fruit prices dropped. The CPI was expected to rise 7.3
percent in June year on year.
China's consumer confidence
index shrinks in Q2(2008/07/10)
(Xinhua) -- China's consumer confidence index dropped in the second
quarter, reflecting an expected cool down in the country's economy.
The index fell 0.7 percentage points from the previous quarter to 94.1, said
the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Wednesday.
The index was also 2.7 percentage points lower than in the same period last
year.
The Index, which measures consumers' outlook toward employment, the economy,
regular income, stock market and quality of life, was released following the
disclosure of a slightly lower entrepreneurial confidence index and a lower
business climate index, both year-on-year figures for the second quarter.
China's business climate index dropped 8.6 points to 137.4 points from last
year's second quarter, while the entrepreneurial confidence index dipped 8.3
points to 134.8 from the same period last year.
Chinese entrepreneurs less
confident in Q2(2008/07/09)
BEIJING, July 8 (Xinhua) -- China's entrepreneur confidence index dipped
8.3 points to 134.8 in the second quarter from the same period last year,
said the National Bureau of Statistics on Tuesday.
The index, a gauge of the understanding, views and projections of
entrepreneurs, was 5.8 points lower than that in the first quarter.
"The entrepreneurs' weaker confidence mirrors the current macro-economic
condition, as growth is slowing down," said Guosen Securities analyst Lin
Songli. "It also shows their anticipation of future developments."
The figure followed Monday's release of China's business climate index, a
key gauge of corporate performance, which dropped8.6 points to 137.4 points
in the second quarter from the same 2007 period.
Deputy Director Cai Zhizhou of China Center for National Accounting and
Economic Growth, Peking University, attributed the climate index drop to
rising costs of land, labor and energy resources, plus tightened credit.
The value of China's exports in the first five months rose 22.9percent from
the same period last year. The growth rate was 4.9 percentage points lower
than that of the first five months of last year.
The growth rate of urban fixed-asset investment in January-May also fell 0.3
percentage points year on year.
Social service sectors, such as banking, insurance, water and power supply,
saw the biggest slip in entrepreneur confidence in the second quarter.
Lodging and eatery industries posted the second biggest slump.
Entrepreneurs in mining sectors were the most confident, with their index at
169 points, followed by the information and software businessmen.
Meanwhile, entrepreneurs in the real estate industry posted the lowest
confidence index of 118.4 points.
Those in large-sized enterprises had more confidence than those in small and
medium-sized ones, with the indices for them standing at 149.9, 125.3 and
118 points respectively.
The figures were based on a survey of 19,500 companies nationwide.
China's business climate index
continues to drop in Q2(2008/07/08)
(Xinhua) -- China's business climate index, a key gauge of corporate
performance, continued to drop year on year in the second quarter despite a
slight recovery from the first quarter, Monday official figures showed.
The index, based on a survey of 19,500 Chinese firms, rose to 137.4 points
in the second quarter from 136.2 in the first quarter, but 8.6 points down
from last year's second quarter, said the National Bureau of Statistics.
Rising costs of land, labor and energy resources, accompanied by tightened
credit, contributed to the index fall, said Deputy Director Cai Zhizhou of
China Center for National Accounting and Economic Growth, Peking University.
"Pressured by higher costs and fund restraints, Chinese enterprises are
going though a transition period," he said.
Cai said it was urgent for the enterprises to change the development mode
relying on high energy and resource consumption.
Large-, medium- and small-sized enterprises all reported declining climate
indices from last year's first quarter. Their second-quarter levels were
155.9, 125.3 and 115.7 points, respectively.
Information technology and software sectors continued to post a higher
climate index, which rose 4.4 points to 162.9 from the same period last
year.
Compared with the first quarter, industrial companies gained 2.4 points to
135.7, construction went up to 144.2 points, while the real estate stayed at
almost the same level at 131.8 points.
Wholesale, retail, transport, hotel and eatery sectors all fell from the
first quarter.
"The index was a natural reflection of the slower economic growth," said Cai.
China's gross domestic product in the first quarter rose 10.6 percent
year-on-year, but the growth rate was 1.1 percentage lower than a year
earlier.
The business climate index, with the 100-point mark as the mark between
depression and prosperity, tumbled to 116.6 points, its lowest level since
the outbreak of SARS in 2003. It has since stayed above 130.
Oil prices settle record above
145 U.S. dollars(2008/07/07)
NEW YORK, July 3 (Xinhua) -- Crude futures surged and settled above 145
U.S. dollars a barrel for the first time Thursday after a rising dollar did
not ease much of the investors' concern about supplies.
Light, sweet crude for August delivery rose 1.72 dollars to settle at a new
record of 145.29 dollars a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. In
the early morning electronic trading the contract hit an all-time peak of
145.85 dollars a barrel.
Oil's Thursday rally was believed to have been driven by Wednesday's report
of a bigger-than-expected drop in the U.S. crude stockpiles and the
lingering concerns about the tension in the Middle East.
But the price hike eased after the dollar gained strongly against the euro.
The European Central Bank (ECB) raised interest rate by a quarter point on
Thursday. As the decision was long expected by the market, and the ECB
played down prospect of further rate increase, the euro fell sharply against
the dollar.
In London, Brent crude for August delivery hit a record of 146.69 dollars a
barrel before settling up 1.82 dollars at 146.08 dollars a barrel on the ICE
Futures Exchange.
State firms seek global
talent(2008/07/04)
BEIJING, July 3 -- China will start a new round of talent recruitment
globally to find 16 senior managers and chief accountants for its elite
State enterprises.
The State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC),
which represents the State in more than 150 major State enterprises, will
announce its recruitment plan next Tuesday.
The commission will look for three general managers, 10 deputy heads and
three chief accountants for 16 major enterprises in a variety of sectors,
such as power generation, electronics, chemical and trade. Some firms, such
as Baoshan Iron and Steel Co, and FAW, China's top automaker, are among the
world's top 500 enterprises.
The SASAC said it would establish overseas recruitment centers to save costs
for applicants that it is looking to lure to China.
General managers are sought for the China Electronics Corporation, Harbin
Power Equipment Corp and Macao-based Nam Kwong Group. It is the first time
that the SASAC will openly recruit senior managers for Macao-based State
enterprises.
Applicants must have at least a bachelor's degree and candidates applying
for general manager roles must be under 50, the SASAC said. Only the
"exceptionally competent" over-50s will be considered for these positions
but even they must be under 53.
The SASAC started to openly recruit senior management for major State
enterprises in 2003 and has hired 91 high-ranking managers since. "It (open
recruitment) has created a sound environment for qualified managers to stand
out," Li Rongrong, head of SASAC, said at a June 26 meeting.
"Such a way of recruitment will encourage competition and help improve
management efficiency in State enterprises," said Han Meng, researcher with
the Institute of Economics of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.
China's State enterprises used to be criticized for being slow to market
changes - a legacy of the planned economy era. Top managers, many of whom
appointed by higher authorities, are often thought as officials who lack
some of the skills needed in corporate management.
But since China has adopted the market-based economy, the SASAC has tried to
introduce modern corporate governance into State enterprises by helping them
establish board of directors and supervisors and by making their managers
more professional and better suited to manage the country's approximate 30
trillion yuan worth of State assets.
"The SASAC's recruitment process is open and market-based, which will be
conducive for corporate governance," Han said.
The age limit for candidates points to the philosophy and commitment in
seeking out young talent, which is a trend in China, he added.
The recruitment announcement will be published on the official website of
SASAC, China Daily and other major media outlets. The application deadline
is August 6.
(Source: China Daily)
China to raise prices of refined
oil, electricity(2008/06/24)
(Xinhua) -- China's top economic
planner announced Thursday night the country will raise the prices of
gasoline, diesel oil, aviation kerosene and electricity, revealing an
unprecedented broad plan to raise energy prices.
Beginning Friday, the benchmark gasoline and diesel oil retail prices will
be marked up by 1,000 yuan (144.9 U.S. dollars) per tonne, with the price of
aviation kerosene up by 1,500 yuan per tonne.
The prices of natural gas and liquefied petroleum gas, however, would be
left unchanged, according to the National Development and Reform Commission
(NDRC).
The benchmark retail prices of gasoline and diesel oil would be lifted to
6,980 yuan and 6,520 yuan per tonne, up more than 16 percent and 18 percent
respectively.
The price rises also translate into mark-ups of 0.8 yuan and 0.92 yuan per
liter, the measurement used at service stations in China, for gasoline and
diesel oil respectively.
The commission said the oil price adjustment was made to ensure supplies in
the country by diminishing the gap between continuously rising international
crude prices, especially since February, and state-set domestic oil prices.
Crude oil price on the international market reached above 136 U.S. dollars
per barrel on Wednesday, up more than 45 percent from the price when the
country raised oil prices in November last year.
The government-controlled oil prices on domestic market should be blamed for
a shortfall of supplies, as some refineries stopped or cut back on
processing to avoid losses, said an unidentified NDRC official.
The commission said more subsidies would be offered to farmers, public
transport, low-income families and taxi drivers to cushion the crunch of
price rises.
For instance, farmers would get five yuan per mu (1/15 hectare)of farmland
in extra subsidy; low-income families in cities would get an extra 15 yuan
for each person every month starting from July, 10 yuan for such rural
families.
The commission said fares for
passenger travel by rail, urban and rural public transport and taxis would
remain unchanged after the rise.
The official did not comment on the impact of oil price rises on the
inflation rate, which eased to 7.7 percent in May. In April, it rose 8.5
percent after a 12-year high of 8.7 percent in February.
The commission also said the average electricity tariff will be raised by
2.5 cents per kwh starting from July 1, up 4.7 percent on average.
It said the price rise was made in response to rising costs of the country's
power plants, including rising power-coal prices, increased costs on
desulphuration facilities and investment in grid upgrading.
More than 80 percent of all the power generation companies suffered losses
in the January-May period due to power-coal price rises.
Official statistics showed that power coal prices went up by more than 80
yuan per tonne in the past two years. The prices had gone up by 60 yuan
since the beginning of the year.
The commission also announced the country would exercise temporary price
intervention on power coal as of Dec. 31, and power coal prices are capped
below the price on June 19.
The policy was adopted as the commission expected the power-coal price to
rise further because of the gap between domestic and international prices
and tight supplies.
The commission also said urban and rural residents and sectors of farming
and fertilizer production, as well as the quake-hit provinces of Sichuan,
Shaanxi and Gansu, will be exempt from the price rise.
Industrial and commercial undertakings, however, would only see limited
impact, as power expenses usually account for a small portion of their total
costs, it said.
"The price rise in electricity would not have a fundamental impact on the
country's inflation rate," said the NDRC official.
Weakening dollar adds price
pressure(2008/06/23)
BEIJING, June 19 -- A weakening
dollar has contributed to China's inflationary pressure by pushing up
commodity prices around the world, said the country's central bank governor.
Chinese policymakers need to learn from the lessons of U.S. subprime woes,
said Zhou Xiaochuan, governor of the People's Bank of China, also a member
of the Chinese delegation attending the two-day session of the Sino-US
Strategic Economic Dialogue (SED) in Maryland.
The dialogue, headed by the U.S. Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and
Chinese Vice-Premier Wang Qishan, ended yesterday.
"Emerging economies are feeling the pinch (of rising prices)," he said at a
news briefing in Annapolis, Maryland. "A weakening dollar may push up prices
of commodities such as crude oil," which are major imports of China, he
said.
The price of crude oil has on one occasion topped 135 dollars a barrel in
recent trading sessions.
Raw-material prices have also been hovering at high levels since last year,
putting pressure on China's factory-gate prices, which would in turn pass
onto the consumer inflation zone.
In May, China's producer price index, which gauges factory-gate prices, rose
8.2 percent, the highest in more than three years, feeding concerns that
although consumer inflation eased to 7.7 percent in May, down from 8.5
percent the previous month, it may rebound in the coming months.
The central bank yesterday set the mid-point of the yuan's exchange rate at
6.8823 against the dollar, marking a new historical high since China
revalued the yuan by 2.1 percent to 8.11 per dollar in July, 2005. It has
appreciated a further 17.84 percent since then.
The yuan has regained momentum of fast appreciation while it is
strengthening in the non-deliverable forwards market.
Analysts said the yuan's strengthening
would reduce pressure on China's "imported inflation", or inflation incurred
by imports, but the effect has proved to be limited. Worse, it has started
to push some domestic export-oriented enterprises to the wall.
The appreciation momentum of the yuan may not slow until the Olympic Games
in August, said Liu Dongliang, currency analyst of the Shenzhen-based China
Merchants Bank. "The post-Olympic trend is not clear yet."
Zhou also said China will learn from the U.S. financial woes triggered by
its subprime problems.
Sovereign wealth fund
Finance Minister Xie Xuren, who was also attending the SED session, said the
country's overseas investment through its 200 billion dollar sovereign
wealth fund does not pose a threat to financial markets.
Xie said that the fund is not aimed at short-term speculation but long-term
investments that should help the overall economy.
As the U.S. financial market is bogged down by the subprime crisis, the
capital injection from investment by the world's major sovereign wealth
funds has helped stabilize the market, but some U.S. politicians fear that
such investment will pose a threat to U.S. financial security.
China's fixed asset investment
up 25.6% in Jan-May(2008/06/18)
China's urban fixed-asset
investment rose 25.6 percent to 4.0264 trillion yuan (575.2 billion U.S.
dollars) in the first five months of 2008 compared to the same period a year
earlier, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said here Tuesday.
The growth figure was 0.3 percentage points lower from the same period last
year, and 0.1 percentage points lower than the Jan-April period this year.
"The growth was broadly in line
with market expectations and reflected the government's efforts to prevent
the economy from getting overheated," said Hu Yanni, a CITIC Securities
Research analyst.
Hu said the deadly May 12 quake in Sichuan Province would have a short-term
negative impact on fixed-asset investment, while speeding up the investment
pace in the long run with the surge in demand on infrastructure rebuilding
and temporary settlement construction in the affected regions.
Li Daokui, a Tsinghua University economist, said the investment was not
apparently overheated, but the government should be cautious as it was
likely to rebound in the second half to add to inflationary pressures.
The NBS reported earlier this month that inflation, as measured by the
consumer price index (CPI), was up 7.7 percent in May over the same month
last year. In April, it rose 8.5 percent after a 12-year high of 8.7 percent
in February.
Meanwhile, there were worries the CPI would accelerate because of rising
factory-gate prices, analysts said.
The producer price index (PPI), which measures the value of finished
products when they leave the factory, rose 8.2 percent inMay over the same
month last year. The rise was 0.1 percentage points higher than April's 8.1
percent.
Investment in state-owned and state-controlled enterprises was 1.6397
trillion yuan, up 18 percent. Investment in the real estate sector grew 31.9
percent to 951.9 billion yuan, the NBS said.
Primary industry (farming, fishing, forestry and the like) continued to grow
the fastest among industrial sectors, expanding 66.1 percent during the
first five months. That compared with secondary and tertiary industries,
whose investment rose 25.6 percent and 25 percent, respectively.
Zhang Xiaojing, a Chinese Academy of Social Sciences analyst, said the
71-percent surge in primary industry investment was a positive sign. It
showed the government's move to shore up agricultural development was
effective.
Investment by the central government expanded 18.5 percent year-on-year to
369.9 billion yuan and that by local governments was up 26.4 percent to
3.6566 trillion yuan.
The first five months saw the commencement of 84,368 projects, 9,667 more
than the same period last year. Planned investment in these new projects was
2.721 trillion yuan, down 2.5 percent.
Fixed-asset investment is a main gauge of spending on new productive
capacity and has been rising rapidly, fuelled by the ample liquidity in the
country.
The government has taken a series of measures to drain liquidity as it tries
to maintain a more sustainable economic growth and curb inflation.
In its latest effort to rein in credit growth, the central bank announced it
would raise the reserve-requirement ratio for commercial banks by 1.0
percentage point in two stages this month to a new high of 17.5 percent.
China's inflation eases but
prices to remain high(2008/06/17)
(Xinhua) -- China's inflation eased
in May, a welcome trend that analysts said would continue for the rest of
the year as food prices had started falling after surging over the past
year.
The consumer price index (CPI), the main gauge of inflation, rose 7.7
percent last month, marking its first significant drop since last year, the
National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said on Thursday.
The CPI rose 8.5 percent in April, up from 8.3 in March and down from the
12-year high of 8.7 percent in February.
However, while inflation was decelerating, prices would remain high this
year, and the situation might trigger further tightening and price reforms
involving energy and resources, said analysts.
CPI TO DROP FURTHER
The CPI would continue to fall for the rest of the year with declining food
prices, according to the China International Capital Corp. (CICC).
The rate of increase in food prices, a major driver behind China's high
inflation, dropped 2.2 percentage points to 19.9 percent in May.
As stocks of live pigs and the yield of rape vegetables increased, the trend
would likely to continue because of increasing supplies and an expected
bumper harvest.
China has since last year introduced a series of incentives, including
direct subsidies and government-funded insurance, to boost agricultural
production.
Li Huiyong, an analyst with Shenyin Wanguo Securities, said that the
devastating earthquake in Sichuan Province on May 12 had a limited impact on
food prices as the grain and pork output in the quake regions accounted for
a tiny portion of the nation's total.
Liang Hong, chief China economist with Goldman Sachs, said the easing in May
might mark a start of prices softening during the remaining period of the
year if the government stuck to tight monetary policies.
The People's Bank of China (PBOC), the central bank, ordered a full
percentage point rise in the reserve requirement ratio on Saturday to
enhance liquidity management and tame inflation. The larger-than-expected
hike followed 14 increases in the reserve ratio and six interest rate hikes
since last year.
This move dashed market hopes the PBOC would relax monetary policy as the
economy faced a worrisome slowdown on weaker export growth and the impact of
several crises, from the worst blizzards in five decades earlier this year
to last month's 8.0-magnitude quake.
PRICES TO REMAIN HIGH
Inflation also eased because of the high base of comparison from late last
year, but absolute prices would continue to climb all through the year, said
Hu Yuexiao, an analyst with Shanghai Securities.
"The inflation situation is still very grim and the CPI is set to exceed the
government target of 4.8 percent for 2008," said Hu.
The Bank of China (BOC) forecast the CPI will rise 8.3 percent in the second
quarter and 6.8 percent the whole year.
The quake would not change economic fundamentals, but the massive investment
required for reconstruction might add new inflationary pressures, the
leading commercial bank said.
The acceleration in the producer price index (PPI) in May might lead to a
rebound in the CPI sometime later this year as producers pass the higher
costs on to consumers, analysts said.
The PPI surged 8.2 percent in May on higher costs of energy, resources and
labor, after gaining 8.1 percent in April, the NBS said on Wednesday.
This also deepened worries that higher factory-gate prices might lead to
more worrisome broad-based price rises, in contrast to the current
structural hikes mainly caused by food.
"The pressures for broad-based price rises are still the biggest risk for
the macro-economy," the central bank said in a report published early the
month.
MORE TIGHTENING, PRICE CURBS?
Chinese authorities still needed to stick to a tight monetary policy and
raise interest rates "at a proper time," following the reserve hike on
Saturday, to more effectively curb inflation, the BOC said in a research
report released on Tuesday.
Rate hikes would help to end negative interest rates to become one of the
most effective weapons against inflation, the report noted.
The central bank, however, has refrained from boosting interest rates this
year, fearing that could attract more overseas speculative funds after the
sharp rate cuts in the United States.
With difficulty in reaching a consensus on rate hikes, the PBOC would use
more bill sales, reserve ratio increases and administrative intervention to
curb excess liquidity and inflation, the report added.
The trade surplus, although shrinking in recent months, continued to pump a
huge amount of liquidity into the banking system, partly blamed for price
surges.
To curb inflation and support post-quake building, the National Development
and Reform Commission (NDRC), the top economic planning agency, ordered on
Wednesday temporary price controls on construction materials such as steel,
cement, timber and glass.
Earlier the year, the NDRC ordered similar steps for basic necessities
ranging from grain, edible oils, meat, milk and eggs to liquefied petroleum
gas.
The decelerating inflation might offer an opportunity for lifting some price
controls, including raising fuel prices, in the second half of the year,
CICC added.
Price controls have managed to limit the inflationary surge, but they were
also widely said to have cut corporate profit growth or even caused losses
and made businesses unwilling to increase output, which in turn fanned
inflation.
China's producer price index up
8.2% in May(2008/06/12)
(Xinhua)-The producer price index (PPI)
for China's industrial products rose 8.2 percent in May over the same month
last year, the National Bureau of Statistics said Wednesday.
The PPI, which measures the value of finished products when they leave the
factory, is 0.1 of a percentage point higher than May's 8.1 percent.
The factory-gate prices of raw materials, fuel and power were up 11.8
percent, also 0.1 of a percentage point higher than the previous month.
Experts said higher ex-factory prices could lead to a rising CPI, as
producers might seek to pass on their rising costs to consumers.
China's CPI, a key measure of inflation, was up 8.5 percent in April,
following an 8.3-percent rise in March and 8.7 percent in February,
according to the NBS.
China has set an annual CPI target of 4.8 percent this year.
Factory-gate prices of crude oil surged 30.9 percent in May over the same
period last year, while gasoline was up 11.0 percent, diesel 11.8 percent
and kerosene 11.4 percent.
The producer prices of raw coal jumped 24.1 percent and those of steel
products rose between 26.7 percent and 43.8 percent.
The purchasing prices, or costs, of fuel and power rose 21 percent, ferrous
metals 22.1 percent, non-ferrous metals 3.4 percent and chemical raw
materials 6.2 percent.
The PPI for manufactured goods was up 7.4 percent in the first five months
of this year, while the costs of raw materials, fuel and power rose 10.6
percent.
The price index of food, a major component of the consumer price index
(CPI), was up 11 percent, exceeding that for garments (2.4 percent) and
daily commodities (3.9 percent). The prices of consumer durables were down
0.5 percent, said the NBS.
Official: China's economic
growth probably to slow down(2008/06/11)
The Chinese economy might already
have begun its cyclical adjustment and its growth is set to slow in the next
few years, a Beijing-based weekly reported Tuesday, quoting Xu Xianchun,
National Bureau of Statistics deputy director.
"According to our initial judgment, 2007 was probably the peak point of the
current Chinese economic growth curve. The growth rate from this year on
will slow down gradually," Xu told China Economic Weekly, a magazine run by
the country's mass-selling newspaper The People's Daily.
According to Xu, the Chinese economy had registered a double-digit growth
rate in the past five consecutive years since 2003. The growth rate was an
average of 12.8 percent annually.
It was the second time since 1990 that the world's fourth largest economy
witnessed such robust growth. Between 1992 and 1996, the Chinese economy
soared annually by 12.4 percent on average.
Such growth, however, would not last given the law of economic cycles, Xu
said, adding a slowdown was certainly to take place after a peak point on
the growth curve.
"Globally, it is rare for the economies to sustain a double-digit growth
rate for five years in a row. So far, only Japan, Singapore and Hong Kong
have scored such performance."
He added another sign of a slowdown in the economy existed in the fact that
China's growth rates for 2008 forecast by international financial
institutions were all lower than 11.9 percent, the 2007 growth rate for the
country.
He said the cyclical fluctuation, this time, was expected to be much milder
than that in the 1990-1999 cycle and the Chinese economy looked to make a
successful soft-landing in the coming years.
According to Xu, in 1999, China reported an annual growth rate of 7.9
percent, which he said was the trough of the 1990-1999 cycle.
"The current cycle has not ended yet. We are forecasting a new trough, which
we think won't be too low."
Over the mounting inflationary
pressure, Xu told the weekly the inflationary peak point of the current
economic cycle was expected to show up in 2009, two years after the
appearance of the growth peak.
"This year, we are facing a very severe situation in terms of inflation. In
fact, we expected the inflation rate to drop in the second quarter but it
didn't happen."
According to Xu, it was probable that the drop of the inflation rate would
be further delayed in the wake of the May 12 8.0-magnitude earthquake that
rocked the southwestern Sichuan Province and had killed 69,142 people as of
Monday noon.
"We should pay the utmost attention to inflation. If the inflation rate
reaches the peak one or two years later from now, the Chinese economy would
be under huge pressure."
Last week, the Institute of Finance Research under the People's Bank of
China (PBOC) said in a report that the Chinese economy had slowed because of
the U.S. credit crunch, a spate of tightening measures and natural
disasters.
Consumer prices were high, making the fight against inflation arduous, the
report said. "The pressures for broad-based price rises are still the
biggest risk for the macro-economy."
The consumer price index (CPI) rose 8.2 percent in the first four months
from a year earlier, the highest in 12 years and above the government target
of 4.8 percent for 2008.
The high inflation came amid high commodities prices, normal rises of
China's once-low resources and labor costs and economic structural
imbalances.
Inflationary pressure would be heavy for the whole year as prices of
commodities and food had further room to rise. There would be increasing
demand for credit in the post-quake period, the report noted.
"The government should stick to tightening policies to prevent excessive
credit growth and thus provide a relatively tight environment to constrain
total demand and stabilize prices," it said.
It also suggested the authorities pursue pricing reforms for resources in
the medium and long term to ease price pressures caused by the extensive
growth mode and excessive consumption of resources.
China's fiscal revenue up 29.4%
in first four months(2008/06/10)
China's fiscal revenue was 2.28
trillion yuan (325.7 billion U.S. dollars) in the first four months of 2008,
up 29.4 percent year-on-year.
April revenue jumped 17 percent year-on-year to 682.5 billion yuan, Friday's
China Securities Journal reported, citing unidentified sources.
The growth rate in April was down 7.7 percentage points from March as weaker
profits cut corporate income tax payments, according to the newspaper.
It said corporate income tax revenue, which accounted for 17.1 percent of
2007 fiscal revenue, was down 11.9 percent year-on-year in April and 11.7
percent from the previous month.
Fiscal revenues have grown this year, but the rate has been generally
slowing. The growth rates were 42.4 percent, 36.6 percent and 24.7 percent
respectively in January, February and March.
The newspaper said that analysts believed the growth slowdown would persist
all through 2008.
Fiscal revenue increased 32.4 percent to 5.13 trillion yuan in 2007.
Import tax cuts to relieve
pressure on price rises(2008/06/02)
The government's move to
temporarily reduce import taxes on 26 commodities, including food items,
medical products and cotton, will help reduce inflationary pressure,
analysts said Thursday.
The Ministry of Finance said that:
Tariffs on frozen pork will be lowered from 12 percent to 6 percent from
June 1 to the end of the year.
Temporary tariffs on frozen fish will be reduced to 5 percent from 10-12
percent during the same period.
Tariffs on baby food will be lowered to 5 percent from 10-15 percent.
Tariffs on soymeal and peanut meal, two major livestock feed products, will
be reduced to 2 percent from 5 percent during the same period.
Tariffs on coconut oil and olive oil will be lowered from 10 percent to 5
percent, effective June 1 to the end of September.
Tariffs on medical products have also been cut. No tariffs will be levied on
blood product antiserum, vaccines and antibiotics from June 1 to the end of
December. The previous level was 3 percent.
Cotton imported in excess of annual quotas will be levied 357 yuan (52 U.S.
dollars) per ton from June 5 to October 5. The previous level was 570 yuan
per ton.
Hu Yijian, an economist at Shanghai University of Finance and Economics,
said the revisions mainly target quake-relief efforts in Sichuan, which was
hit by a devastating earthquake on May 12. The reduction of tariffs will
help imports of commodities that are badly needed in Sichuan, Hu said.
Other analysts, however, believe that the move is to help control domestic
prices, which rose by 8.5 percent year-on-year in April, the second highest
in the past 12 years.
Economists and senior officials broadly agree that it is hard to attain the
goal of keeping inflation below 4.8 percent - the central government target
- this year.
"It does not have much to do with the earthquake," said Ma Hongman, a
Shanghai-based economist. "The move is targeted at helping control prices."
Wang Li, researcher at the Chinese Academy of International Trade and
Economic Cooperation of the Ministry of Commerce, added: "Failure to bring
inflation under control could undermine efforts in quake reconstruction and
hosting the Olympic Games." (Source: China Daily)
Crude prices rise back above 130
dollars(2008/05/30)
Crude prices rose back above 130
U.S. dollars Wednesday on Nigerian threat.
Crude prices received a fresh boost from Nigerian threat as Nigerian rebel
group The Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta threatened
attacks on oil installations.
Buying sentiment was bolstered by a report released by Morgan Stanley. The
report said limits on world oil supply could easily lift Brent crude to an
unprecedented 150 dollars a barrel.
Light, sweet crude for July delivery was up 2.18 to 131.03 dollars a barrel
on the New York Mercantile Exchange. In London, July Brent crude futures
rose 2.47 dollars to 130.78 dollars a barrel on the ICE Futures exchange.
China's central bank governor
warns against excessive price, investment rises after quake(08/05/28)
(Xinhua) -- China's central bank
governor has cautioned against an overly rapid rise in prices and investment
in relief and recovery after the May 12 earthquake.
"We must mainly focus on the operation of China's economy afte rthe quake.
While meeting the demand of enterprises in quake relief, we should ensure
the implementation of macro-control measures," said governor Zhou Xiaochuan
of the People's Bank of China (PBC).
He made the statement when visiting a PBC management office in the
southwestern Chongqing Municipality on Monday, according to a PBC press
release on its website.
Chinese banks have been told to help quake victims and relief work by
lifting credit lines, extending loan maturities and the timely writing off
of bad loans in the quake zone.
Analysts fear the moves could further test the government's tight monetary
policy to curb inflation and fixed-asset investment.
The PBC has earlier added 7 billion yuan (1 billion U.S. dollars) of
re-lending quotas to financial institutions in quake-hit regions, in an
effort to increase lenders' liquidity and support their credit supply to
quake relief and reconstruction work.
Chinese banks had extended more than 6.5 billion yuan in loans by May 21 and
agreed to lend a total 82.66 billion yuan (11.9 billion U.S. dollars) to the
hardest-hit southwestern province of Sichuan.
"Local PBC branches should assess the losses and business situation of
banking institutions hit by the quake and the influence of quake-incurred
bad loans on their operation," said Zhou.
Chinese banks have been ordered to promptly write off loans that can't be
repaid because borrowers in the quake zone suffered huge losses that can't
be covered by insurance, or if the insurance or guarantees are not enough
for the debt.
Rapidly writing off bad loans would reduce profits in the short term, as the
bad loan provisions were taken from the banks' own profits, said Wang
Yunquan, director of the China Banking Regulatory Commission's Sichuan
bureau.
However, that was necessary for the
lenders to maintain their true financial status and their asset quality,
said Wang.
"If the losses are not promptly written off, the banks' asset quality
grading would be affected," said Wang.
Banks must retain records of bad loans after the cancellation and keep the
write-off confidential, said the CBRC.
Wang said the verification of bad loans was complex, and he vowed to crack
down on fraud in the process.
Quake prices to be given close
checks(2008/05/27)
China will intervene in the pricing
of building materials when reconstructing those areas damaged by the May 12
earthquake.
The government will limit profit margins and set guideline prices on
materials such as tents, steel, cement, glass and bricks to secure stable
costs, the National Development and Reform Commission said on its Website.
Local governments have not been allowed to issue price increase measures
recently and pricing authorities are forbidden to charge inordinately for
disaster-relief products.
Anyone involved in hoarding, price-gouging, spreading rumors or violating
price intervention policies will be severely punished. The commission has
also established a 24-hour hotline (12358) to handle complaints about
price-gouging.
Sichuan Province has sent out 12 teams to monitor market prices and so far
more than 60 price gouging violations have been discovered, Li Chengyun, the
deputy governor of the province, said yesterday.
"We have also punished the people involved in another 96 cases of market
violations," he said.
Li said the provincial supervision department was investigating whether
people were misusing victims' tents after media reported that some
government officials had arranged for relatives to reside in the tents.
"We have punished four Party officials in Dujiangyan," Li said.
Experts: Tremor likely to be
felt in prices(2008/05/26)
Tremor of the May 12 earthquake is more likely
to be felt in macroeconomic regulations as inflation continued to hover
above 8 percent in April.
"People are assessing the impact of the quake, but life is priceless," said
Zhuang Jian, senior economist with the Asian Development Bank (ADB) in
Beijing.
But he added that while the quake caused extensive casualties and damage, it
will not shake the overall development of the national economy. "The overall
impact on gross domestic product (GDP) growth won't be very big."
Agreed Liang Hong, economist with the Goldman Sachs Asia in Hong Kong. "A
severe natural disaster of this magnitude will likely have a negative impact
on the real economy, but it's likely to be limited and short-lived," she
said in a research note.
Sichuan province constitutes about 4 percent of the national GDP and its
industrial output accounts for only 2.5 percent of the national total.
\\The hardest hit counties are mostly in the remote mountain areas. The
quake-induced short-term loss of production is thus likely to be very
limited, she said.
The reconstruction work after the quake is expected to contribute to GDP,
investment and consumption growth, further mitigating the impact of the
quake on economic growth.
But the quake may mount more inflationary pressures, which is a bigger
concern and requires tighter policies, said analysts.
In April, the consumer price index (CPI), the key gauge of inflation, rose
8.5 percent, second highest in 12 years. The producer price index, a leading
indicator of inflation, rose 8.1 percent in April, the ninth consecutive
month that it increased.
Analysts said it could take about six months for producer price rises to be
transferred to the consumer price zone. Therefore prices in the second half
of the year may not ease significantly, as some economists had anticipated.
The ample liquidity in the market will worsen the situation, said Sun Lijian,
economist with Fudan University.
Meanwhile, China's imports of major commodities such as oil and raw
materials will add to domestic inflationary pressures.
The central bank had raised the bank reserve requirement ratio shortly after
the CPI figure was released last Monday, pointing to the urgency of
controlling prices.
Since Sichuan is a major rice producer, the quake may intensify fears of
food price inflation, especially against the backdrop of global rice price
rise, said Sun Mingchun, senior economist of Lehman Brothers Asia.
The severely damaged transport links could make things worse. "There could
be renewed pressures on food inflation because of Sichuan's relative
importance in agricultural production and the damage to the transportation
system," wrote Goldman Sachs' Liang.
Given the April inflation figure, people are concerned the current monetary
policy may not be tight enough and some are arguing for another increase in
the interest rate.
"Inflation is a very serious problem and will hurt the Chinese economy,"
warned Chen Gong, chief economist and chairman of Beijing-based Anbound
Consulting.
But by using the reserve requirement ratio as a tool to restrict liquidity,
the central bank seems to be reluctant to raise the interest rate, analysts
said.
"Policymakers try to strike a balance between controlling inflation and
maintaining sound economic growth," Chen said. "It's a tough goal."
Whether or not to raise the interest rate, however, does not depend purely
on domestic factors. Policymakers must take into account the condition of
the US economy and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts since a widening
of the gap between Chinese and US interest rates will lead to inflow of
speculative money, said Zhu Baoliang, senior economist with the State
Information Center.
Some economists also warned the US economy may continue to sink deeper,
dragging down the world economic growth and demand for Chinese exports.
"If policymakers rush to raise the interest rate now, they will be left with
less room later if the Chinese economy slows," ADB's Zhuang said. (Source:
China Daily)
China 17th competitive economy(2008/05/23)
China dropped two places to 17th in the
latest World Competitiveness Yearbook compiled by Swiss business school IMD,
but its position has generally continued rising in recent years, the
compilers said on May 21, 2008.
This year's drop isn't statistically significant, and "China has been on the
upward path" in recent years, IMD World Competitiveness Center research
fellow Suzanne Rosselet said. In 1995, China ranked 34th.
Rosselet said many factors have contributed to the drop, such as domestic
price hikes and the environmental costs of development.
The U.S. continued to top the competitiveness rankings for the 15th
consecutive year despite signs its economy is declining.
The IMD economists said the report was based on 2007 data that don't reflect
the U.S.' current economic woes. "The big question is whether the United
States will be No 1 after this year," project director Stephane Garelli
said.
Singapore and China's Hong Kong kept their respective second- and
third-place rankings, and the gap is narrowing between these two economies
and the U.S.', the IMD study said.
Switzerland climbed two places to fourth.
Among the so-called "golden BRIC" countries, Brazil jumped six places to
43rd; Russia dropped by four to 47th; and India dropped two places to 29th.
The study evaluated 55 economies using 331 criteria to measure how those
nations create and maintain favorable business conditions. Such factors as
economic performance, government efficiency, business efficiency and
infrastructure are major criteria for the measurement. In economic
performance, China ranked No 2, and it ranked 12th in government efficiency.
"China is an economic miracle by any standard," John Wells, who became head
of IMD in April, said on May 21 in Beijing.
But Rosselet said China's rapid economic growth has come at a cost.
Its exports, for example, have provided inexpensive products for Western
countries, but also consumed a lot of resources and produced a lot of
pollution in the country, analysts said.
Rosselet also said the Sichuan earthquake, which devastated the province
last Monday, would have a marginal impact on the "resilient" Chinese
economy. In addition, the government's transparency and openness in dealing
with the disaster would boost its international image, she added. (Source:
China Daily)
Experts: Tremor likely to be
felt in prices(2008/05/22)
Tremor of the May 12 earthquake is more likely to
be felt in macroeconomic regulations as inflation continued to hover above 8
percent in April.
"People are assessing the impact of the quake, but life is priceless," said
Zhuang Jian, senior economist with the Asian Development Bank (ADB) in
Beijing.
But he added that while the quake caused extensive casualties and damage, it
will not shake the overall development of the national economy. "The overall
impact on gross domestic product (GDP) growth won't be very big."
Agreed Liang Hong, economist with the Goldman Sachs Asia in Hong Kong. "A
severe natural disaster of this magnitude will likely have a negative impact
on the real economy, but it's likely to be limited and short-lived," she
said in a research note.
Sichuan province constitutes about 4 percent of the national GDP and its
industrial output accounts for only 2.5 percent of the national total.
\\The hardest hit counties are mostly in the remote mountain areas. The
quake-induced short-term loss of production is thus likely to be very
limited, she said.
The reconstruction work after the quake is expected to contribute to GDP,
investment and consumption growth, further mitigating the impact of the
quake on economic growth.
But the quake may mount more inflationary pressures, which is a bigger
concern and requires tighter policies, said analysts.
In April, the consumer price index (CPI), the key gauge of inflation, rose
8.5 percent, second highest in 12 years. The producer price index, a leading
indicator of inflation, rose 8.1 percent in April, the ninth consecutive
month that it increased.
Analysts said it could take about six months for producer price rises to be
transferred to the consumer price zone. Therefore prices in the second half
of the year may not ease significantly, as some economists had anticipated.
The ample liquidity in the market will worsen the situation, said Sun Lijian,
economist with Fudan University.
Meanwhile, China's imports of major commodities such as oil and raw
materials will add to domestic inflationary pressures.
The central bank had raised the bank reserve requirement ratio shortly after
the CPI figure was released last Monday, pointing to the urgency of
controlling prices.
Since Sichuan is a major rice producer, the quake may intensify fears of
food price inflation, especially against the backdrop of global rice price
rise, said Sun Mingchun, senior economist of Lehman Brothers Asia.
The severely damaged transport links could make things worse. "There could
be renewed pressures on food inflation because of Sichuan's relative
importance in agricultural production and the damage to the transportation
system," wrote Goldman Sachs' Liang.
Given the April inflation figure, people are concerned the current monetary
policy may not be tight enough and some are arguing for another increase in
the interest rate.
"Inflation is a very serious problem and will hurt the Chinese economy,"
warned Chen Gong, chief economist and chairman of Beijing-based Anbound
Consulting.
But by using the reserve requirement ratio as a tool to restrict liquidity,
the central bank seems to be reluctant to raise the interest rate, analysts
said.
"Policymakers try to strike a balance between controlling inflation and
maintaining sound economic growth," Chen said. "It's a tough goal."
Whether or not to raise the interest rate, however, does not depend purely
on domestic factors. Policymakers must take into account the condition of
the US economy and the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts since a widening
of the gap between Chinese and US interest rates will lead to inflow of
speculative money, said Zhu Baoliang, senior economist with the State
Information Center.
Some economists also warned the US economy may continue to sink deeper,
dragging down the world economic growth and demand for Chinese exports.
"If policymakers rush to raise the interest rate now, they will be left with
less room later if the Chinese economy slows," ADB's Zhuang said. (Source:
China Daily)
Chinese banks provide
reconstruction loans(2008/05/21)
Chinese banks have offered 2.99 billion yuan (429
million U.S. dollars) of loans for reconstruction work in the earthquake-hit
areas in Sichuan Province as of yesterday noon, the top banking regulator
said.
The China Banking Regulatory Commission also said yesterday on its Website
that banks and their employees have donated 750 million yuan to the
quake-hit area.
The destructive 8.0-magnitude quake hit the province on May 12 and so far
the death took has reached more than 34,073 lives as yesterday noon.
Industrial & Commercial Bank of China, the country's largest bank, plans to
grant over 10 billion yuan of loans to the relief work, the regulator said.
More than 90 percent of banking outlets have resumed operations in Sichuan.
ICBC allocated 100 automatic teller machines to the province to smooth cash
withdrawals in the quake-hit area. Up to May 15, 589 outlets of the bank
have resumed operations, representing 91 percent of its network in the
province.
The Chengdu Branch of the Export-Import Bank of China also signed credit
contracts worth 600 million yuan with three Chengdu-based companies for
quake relief on Sunday.
More than 90 percent of banks' outlets resumed operations on May 16 even
though some are just "tent banks" as employees work to offer basic financial
support in the severely hit area.
The People's Bank of China offered more credit support to the quake-hit area
to ensure ample cash supply in the area.
The central bank gave loans of 1.5 billion yuan to its Chengdu branch to
ensure rural cooperatives have an adequate supply of credit in the quake-hit
area, while another 1 billion yuan was offered to Chengdu and Mianyang City,
the central bank said on its Website yesterday.
The central bank said last Wednesday it decided to offer credit worth 5.5
billion yuan - 3.3 billion yuan of credit to Sichuan Province and 2.2
billion yuan of credit to Gansu Province - to ensure cash supply in the
disaster area.
JPMorgan Chase quake not to
dampen China corporate profit(2008/05/20)
(Xinhua) -- Profit for China's listed companies may
grow 20 percent this year despite the strong quake that shook southwest
China, according to a senior official with JPMorgan Chase.
"The quake would have limited effect on the national GDP growth and further
tightening on the economy is unlikely in the second half of this year," Li
Jing, China head of JPMorgan Chase said at a press conference held on
Friday.
"Sichuan is a major province that provides farm produces like pork, a staple
meat for Chinese people, and the consumer prices in the southwest region
might rise substantially," she said.
"The regional gross domestic product (GDP) growth would also be affected in
the second quarter but its GDP makes up only a minor part of the national
GDP," she said.
Last year, the province saw its GDP value reaching 1.05 trillion yuan (150
billion U.S. dollars), accounting for 4 percent of the revised national
figure, which was 24.953 trillion yuan.
"The national economic climate in second quarter would no doubt outperform
the first one that was the worst in history," said Li, adding some
enterprises in financial, manufacturing, consumption and energy industries
could see higher profit rise.
Bottom-line growth of large domestic banks may be up to 40 percent in the
second half of this year, thanks to a wider net interest margin, development
of infrastructure and better assets quality, she said.
While industries like textile, garment and furniture are suffering loss
since 2005, high value-added providers including electronic and telecom
equipment sectors are witnessing rising profits, Li said.
"China's shipment and machinery equipment will be competitive in the
international market," she added.
The Sichuan earthquake, measuring 7.8 on the Richter scale on Monday, had
taken more than 21,500 lives and buried 14,000 others as of 4 p.m. Friday,
according to vice governor of Sichuan Li Chengyun.
He said that 159,000 people were injured in the massive earthquake and 4.8
million people had been relocated.
Central bank:China's economy
won't see galloping inflation(2008/05/19)
Despite global inflation, the Chinese economy
is unlikely to see galloping inflation thanks to its own growing impetus,
said Su Ning, vice governor of the People's Bank of China (PBOC), on
Thursday.
It is imperative for the Chinese government to pay close attention to
inflation pressure in the future, Su told a one-day forum on Sino-Indian
financial cooperation.
Globally, due to the continuous depreciation of the U.S. dollar and strong
growth of some emerging economies, prices of energy, raw material and farm
products have kept rising, which has pushed up inflation rates worldwide, he
said.
Over the last year or so, China has been faced with mounting pressure on
inflation.
China's consumer price index, the main gauge of inflation, has risen from
above three percent in March last year, to above 6 percent in August, and to
8.5 percent year-on-year last month, as a result of the robust national
economy and domestic food price rises coupled with soaring international
energy prices.
China, however, is still capable of warding off galloping inflation because
the world's fourth largest economy, which has enjoyed robust growth in the
last few years, has a favorable fiscal situation and enterprises'
profitability has significantly improved, said the vice governor.
He said China's macro-economic policies at present are primarily aimed to
guard against a shift from structural price rises to evident inflation.
Regarding the fiscal policies, Su said it is necessary to maintain stability
and continuity. As to the monetary policies, he noted that the main task is
to create a favorable environment for curbing inflation.
Earlier on Monday, the PBOC announced that it would raise the reserve
requirement ratio for commercial banks by half a percentage point to curb
excess liquidity and ease inflation.
This will be the fourth such move this year, and it will lift the country's
reserve requirement ratio to a new high of 16.5 percent as of May 20.
"The rise is aimed at strengthening liquidity management in the banking
system and steering reasonable growth in bank credit," the central bank said
in a statement.
The PBOC raised the reserve requirement ratio on Jan. 25, March 25 and April
25, respectively, on top of 10 such moves in 2007. It also raised interest
rates six times last year.
The new tightening measure was unveiled on the same day as the National
Bureau of Statistics said the country's inflation rate hit 8.5 percent in
April, up from 8.3 percent in March and only slightly lower than the nearly
12-year high of 8.7 percent in February.
China's fixed asset investment
up 25.7% in Jan-April(2008/05/16)
Urban fixed-asset investment rose 25.7 percent
year-on-year to 2.841 trillion yuan (406 billion U.S. dollars) in the first
four months of this year, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said
Thursday.
The growth figure represents a slight acceleration -- 0.2 percentage point
-- from the same period last year.
Investment in China's booming real estate sector grew 32.1 percent to 695.2
billion yuan, said the NBS.
The NBS reported earlier this week that inflation, as measured by the
consumer price index, was up 8.5 percent year-on-year in April. The figure
compared with 8.3 percent in March and a nearly 12-year-high of 8.7 percent
in February.
Another key inflation indicator, the producer price index, which measures
the cost of goods when they leave the factory, surged 8.1 percent in April.
Primary industry (farming, fishing, forestry and the like) continued to grow
the fastest among industrial sectors, expanding 71.6 percent during the
first four months. It rose 31.1 percent for all of last year.
Investment in the secondary and tertiary industries rose 25.9 percent and
24.9 percent, respectively.
Analysts said that the 71-percent surge in primary industry investment was a
positive sign as it showed that the government's move to shore up
agricultural development was effective.
In the "No.1 Document" published in January, the government promised to
greatly increase investment this year to promote agriculture and the rural
economy and improve the lives of hundreds of million rural residents.
Investment by the central government expanded 14.8 percent year-on-year to
268 billion yuan and that by local governments was up 27 percent to 2.573
trillion yuan.
Investment in state-owned and state-controlled enterprises was 1.153
trillion yuan, up 16.9 percent.
The first four months saw the commencement of 59,676 projects, 7,993 more
than in the same period last year. Planned investment in these new projects
was 1.93 trillion yuan, down 5.1 percent.
China's industrial output up
15.7% in April(2008/05/15)
(Xinhua) -- The industrial output of China's
major enterprises grew 15.7 percent year-on-year in April, the National
Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said Wednesday.
The figure represents a drop of 2.1 percentage points over the previous
month, or a drop of 1.7 percentage points over the same month of last year
the bureau said.
Major enterprises are those with an annual sales volume of at least five
million yuan.
An analyst with the NBS said the Tomb-Sweeping Day, which fell on April 4,
was for the first time marked by a public holiday when a large number of
industrial enterprises stopped production activities. That was one of the
reasons why the industrial production cooled down in the past month.
The sales ratio of the enterprises stood at 97.8 percent, 0.5 percentage
points lower than the same period of last year.
Delivered exports totaled 659.5 billion yuan (94.2 billion U.S. dollars) in
value, up 15.6 percent.
Two-digit growth in the industrial output was registered in the textile,
nonmetal minerals products, ferrous metals smelting and pressing,
telecommunications devices, computer and other electronic devices, and
chemical materials and related processing industries.
The output of coal rose 13.9 percent year on year, crude oil, 0.5 percent,
electricity, 12.8 percent, and rolled steel, 10.2 percent.
Production of sedans reached 520,000 units in April, an increase of 26.3
percent from a year earlier, the bureau said.
China's Jan.-April steel exports
down 24%(2008/05/14)
Rolled steel exports ebbed in the first four
months of this year, reflecting China's efforts to cut exports of the
smokestack industries and the increasing anti-dumping actions against
Chinese products abroad.
The General Administration of Customs said on Tuesday that between January
and April, China exported 16.17 million tons of rolled steel, down 23.9
percent year-on-year. The exports were valued at 14.36 billion U.S. dollars,
up 4.1 percent year-on-year.
In April, exports were 4.78 million tons, valued at nearly 4.44billion U.S.
dollars.
State-owned enterprises accounted for 56.5 percent of rolled steel exports
during the first four months.
Sales to the Republic of Korea, members of the Association of Southeast
Asian Nations and the United States accounted for 68.6 percent of exports.
However, exports to the United States and European Union dropped 46.4
percent and 27.3 percent, respectively.
China's producer price index up
8.1% in April(2008/05/12)
(Xinhua) -- The producer price index (PPI)
for China's industrial products rose 8.1 percent in April over the same
month last year, putting on more pressure on the nation's inflation rate,
the National Bureau of Statistics said Friday. The factory-gate prices of
raw materials, fuel and power were up 11.8 percent.
The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said on Friday the rise in the PPI,
which measures the value of finished products when they leave the factory,
was only 2.4 percent as recently as August, indicating intensifying
inflation pressure.
Li Xiaochao, spokesperson of the NBS, said higher ex-factory prices could
lead to a rising CPI, as producers might seek to pass on their own rising
costs to consumers.
China's CPI, a key measure of inflation, was up 8.3 percent in March,
following an 8.7 percent rise in the previous month, according to the NBS.
China has set an annual CPI target of 4.8 percent this year.
Factory-gate prices of crude oil surged 37.9 percent in April over the same
period last year, while gasoline was up 10.8 percent, diesel 10.2 percent
and kerosene 11.7 percent.
The producer prices of raw coal jumped 20.9 percent and those of steel
products rose between 24.9 percent and 41.1 percent.
The purchasing prices, or costs, of fuel and power rose 21.2 percent,
ferrous metals 20.8 percent, non-ferrous metals 6,1 percent and chemical raw
materials 4.2 percent.
The PPI for manufactured goods was up 7.2 percent in the first four months
of this year, while the costs of raw materials, fuel and power rose 10.3
percent.
The price index of food, a major component of the consumer price index
(CPI), was up 11.9 percent, exceeding that for garments (2.3 percent) and
daily commodities (3.7 percent). The prices of consumer durables were down
0.5 percent, said the NBS.
Financial centers with varied
cores promoted(2008/05/09)
BEIJING, May 8 -- China's central
bank will encourage local governments to create financial centers and will
guide them to develop the centers which will have different focuses, a
spokesman said Wednesday.
"We understand how some cities want to turn themselves into finance centers
and we will definitely encourage them," said Li Chao, a spokesman for the
People's Bank of China, in Shanghai.
"But the finance centers will have to be classified at different levels and
with different focuses based on the financial infrastructure of the cities."
Li made the comments when asked about the central bank's view over the
potential for competition among mainland cities, including Shanghai and
Beijing, which all wish to become financial hubs.
Earlier this month Beijing's government unveiled a proposal which, for the
first time, stated that it is planning to make the city "a finance center
with an international influence."
Tianjin is developing its Binhai New Area as a financial zone by applying to
launch the country's first national over-the-counter stock exchange.
Shenzhen in Guangdong Province is on track to unveil the nation's growth
enterprise board.
Li said that a senior official at another city in central China recently
talked to him expressing the wish to set up a financial center. "We
encourage local governments to participate in finance development," Li said.
Li noted that Shanghai has strong finance infrastructure advantages and will
be fully supported by the central bank and other regulators as it bids to
become an international financial center.
Shanghai is set to host the city's first high-level annual international
finance forum tomorrow and Saturday. The Lujiazui Forum will be attended by
the chairmen of China's banking, insurance and securities regulatory bodies.
Guest speakers include Zhou Xiaochuan, the governor of China's central bank,
David McCormick, under secretary for international affairs for the US
Department of the Treasury and senior executives at Morgan Stanley and
Goldman Sachs.
"We hope to attract more international awareness of Shanghai through the
forum," said Fang Xinghai, director of the Shanghai government's financial
services office, at a media briefing. "We'd like to borrow overseas
experience and expertise to deepen the country's financial reforms."
(Source: Shanghai Daily)
Inflation expected to go down in
Q2(2008/05/08)
Inflation could dip to 7.5
percent in the second quarter from 8 percent in the first, but inflationary
pressures will stay strong because of surging grain prices and robust
investment, said a top government think tank.
"Seasonal changes and government measures to boost agricultural supplies may
cause consumer prices to slide in the second quarter," the State Information
Center said in a report. "But inflationary pressure is still mounting
because of domestic and international factors."
The Beijing-based think tank falls under the National Development and Reform
Commission.
The government is trying to limit consumer inflation under 4.8 percent in
2008 but the consumer price index gained 8.7 percent in February, the
highest in 12 years.
"The ongoing price surge of agricultural products in international markets
will add to the inflationary pressure in China," the center warned.
Prices of food, which makes about a third of China's CPI basket, is key for
the government to tame inflation as it accounted for about 70 percent of the
inflation last year.
Global agricultural prices climbed 14.6 percent in the first quarter,
according to the Ministry of Commerce. Rice prices have more than tripled to
$1,000 per ton in the past year.
China, largely self-sufficient in grains, is trying to stabilize domestic
rice prices with measures such as export bans and agricultural subsidies.
But there are concerns about how long the nation can hold its rice price at
about one-fourth of that in overseas markets, given recent reports of
illegal rice exports in the past months.
The center also said China is under growing pressure to raise domestic grain
prices due to a demand-supply gap and mounting agricultural production costs
from fertilizer and fuel.
Zhou Xiaochuan, governor of central bank, had anticipated inflation to ease
after the lunar New Year this February. But he didn't predict the full-year
outlook given the uncertainties in grain and commodity prices, according to
Reuters.
The think tank said investment in China would remain strong in the second
quarter thanks to ballooning corporate profits and local officials' appetite
for investments after a personnel reshuffle in the beginning of the year.
Prices of investment goods such as machinery and equipment gained 8.6
percent in the first quarter, compared with 4.7 percent in 2007, the center
said, adding the price rise will continue in the second quarter as the
investment momentum will continue.
The center also forecast China's economy will expand by 10.8 percent from
March to June, up 0.2 percentage points from the first quarter.
(Source: China Daily)
Growth in exports set to drop to
10% (2008/05/07)
Weak external demand is set
to pull down China's export growth to 10 percent after the 25.7 percent jump
in 2007, a research unit under the Ministry of Commerce said.
The country's 2008 trade surplus may also drop to 200 billion U.S. dollars
from a record 262 billion dollars last year, Li Yushi, director of the
Chinese Academy of International Trade and Economic Cooperation, was quoted
by yesterday's Shanghai Securities News as saying.
China's trade surplus fell 10.6 percent year on year to 41.4 billion dollars
in the first quarter this year, the first time the quarterly figure headed
southwards
The nation's export growth slowed to 21.4 percent in the first three months
from 27.8 percent in the same period last year, mainly because of weaker
demand from the United States.
Chinese exporters will face tougher internal and external environments this
year, which will add pressure on their operations, the research agency said
in a report, according to the newspaper.
However, the country's export growth in future may be helped by robust
exports of electromechanical products, according to Liu Haiquan, vice
director at the comprehensive department under the ministry.
Exports of electromechanical products, which jumped 23.1 percent in the
first quarter of this year from the same period a year ago, have a big
potential to grow even more, Liu was quoted as saying.
Chinese grain reserves
sufficient(2008/05/06)
BEIJING, May 5 -- Without
destructive natural disasters, current grain reserves in China plus this
year's outputs are more than enough to feed its people, said Zeng Liying,
deputy director of the State Administration of Grain.
The country's grain inventories, including the government's, enterprises'
and farmers', are currently at around 250 million tons, accounting for half
of national annual grain consumption, and this ratio is much higher than the
international warning line of 17 to 18 percent, said Zhang Xiaoqiang, deputy
director of the National Development and Reform Commission, on April 27 at
the 6th annual conference of Chinese importers and exporters.
If there are no natural disasters that affect Chinese agriculture this year,
grain output is expected to continue to grow with the same momentum we
enjoyed in the last four years', Zeng said confidently. China's grain
production totaled more than 500 million tons last year, 70.85 million tons
more than in 2003.
With the exception of a portion of demand for soybeans, which is supplied
from overseas, China is more than self-sufficient in wheat, rice and corn.
Currently skyrocketing grain prices are primarily driven by soaring demand
for biofuels as well as rising machinery, fertilizer, labor and farming land
costs. But China is working to stabilize grain prices.
This year, the government has appropriated 130.7 billion yuan more in
agricultural investment than last year, and the central budget added 25.3
billion yuan in subsidies for farmers and further leveraged minimum grain
purchase prices.
Zeng also introduced that China's current wheat and rice prices are far
below international averages. Regular price fluctuations are related to the
balance of domestic demand and supply, and proper price raises could
increase farmer's incomes and keep them working the farmlands.
Regarding some reports on regional shortage of grain inventories, Zeng
explained that grain inventories are a dynamic number, and peaks following
large scale seasonal purchasing and gradually falls over the period of a
year. The reported shortage in grain reserves is based on a few deserted or
idle storage facilities, used during late 1990s when China experienced years
of plentiful harvests.
The State Administration of Grain is now collecting national grain purchase,
sales and inventories statistics once every 10 days, and promises to keep an
eye on nationwide grain market balances, said Zeng.
China's inflation pressures
ease, but target still elusive(2008/05/05)
BEIJING, May 4 (Xinhua) --
The slowing growth of China's main inflation indicator is set to continue in
the April figures, thanks to falling farm produce prices, market analysts
said on Sunday.
The consumer price index (CPI), which hit 8.7 percent for February and 8.3
percent for March, would probably be around 8 percent for April over the
same month last year, said Chen Jijun, an analyst with Citic Securities.
Falling farm produce prices were the main factor dragging down the rise in
the CPI, said Chen.
Although, grain prices remained stable but high, vegetable prices dropped
significantly last month thanks to abundant supply, with some categories
falling by 50 percent.
Zhang Ying, chief analyst with Hujie Investment, forecast the growth in the
index would continue to slow after the 11-year peak in February.
The annual goal of 4.8 percent, however, remained a difficult target to hit,
said chief economist with the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) Yao
Jingyuan, in an interview with the China Central Television on Wednesday.
The CPI surged 8 percent in the first quarter, 5.3 percentage points higher
than the same period last year, indicating continuing inflationary
pressures, he said.
Food prices, the key driving force of the CPI, remained high with pork
prices rising 63 percent year on year, said Yao.
Up to six million pigs died in the severe winter weather this year, driving
up prices, he said.
External factors confounded the problem. International crude prices more
than doubled in less than five months, greatly affecting domestic energy
price controls, Yao said.
As world economies continued to integrate, global grain price rises also
affected the domestic market.
The price of wheat had climbed by 112 percent and corn by 47.3 percent since
September 2006, reaching a 10-year high. Rice prices also doubled to stand
at 760 U.S. dollars per ton.
Yao said sufficient grain reserves and good production would guarantee
supplies, barring any natural disasters.
The 4.8 percent annual target manifested the central government's resolution
to contain inflation. "We have not only determination, but also concrete
measures," Yao said.
China's large SOEs told to be
ready for tough times(2008/05/04)
BEIJING, May 3 -- Tighten
your belts and brace for two years of tough times, large State-owned
enterprises (SOEs) have been told by the minister supervising the country's
150 largest SOEs.
"Please keep a close watch on your purses and do not splurge," Li Rongrong,
minister of the State Owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission
(SASAC), was quoted as saying by Economic Observer newspaper on Friday.
He made the warning on April 24 when he was reviewing the performance of the
SOEs with their bosses, but the speech was made public only on Friday.
Some of the SOEs have reported a slowdown in profit growth in the first
quarter. They booked revenues of 2.6 trillion yuan ($371 billion), up 27
percent year-on-year, but their profits declined by almost 3 percent over
the same period.
An Fengming, an analyst with the SASAC research center, said the companies
must improve risk controls.
The US subprime crisis has caused a slowdown in the global economy, and
China should be fully prepared for it, he said.
Last month, the International Monetary Fund revised its global economic
growth forecast this year to 3.7 percent, down from 4.9 percent.
In the first quarter, China's exports grew 21.4 percent, 6.4 percentage
points lower year on year; and a group of economic institutes led by Peking
University predicted that export growth could slow down to 19 percent in the
second quarter.
Rising inflation and raw material costs have also added to the woes of some
large SOEs.
Although oil and coal prices continued to rise on international markets,
profits in the two sectors dropped by a third because SOEs were forbidden to
raise prices as the government considers taming inflation more of a priority
than the profits of such SOEs as Sinopec and PetroChina.
Shen Minggao, chief economist of Citigroup China, said the costs of raw
materials and labor were significantly undervalued, so there are two
choices: Either raise domestic prices or cut profits, and the second
scenario is more likely for many Chinese companies.
To fend off the challenges, Li warned companies to be more careful about
borrowing and urged them to keep more money on hand.
In the operational budgets of the 150 SOEs, 67 companies said they would
borrow more this year for expansion, and some companies' asset-liability
ratio was even planned for up to 80 percent.
A total of 38 companies said they had negative working capital in the first
quarter.
(Source: China Daily)
Experts: China should still be
alert to impact of U.S. credit crisis(2008/04/30)
China should still be alert to
the credit crisis starting in the United States more than one year ago that
has afflicted the Chinese financial sector and export, Ou Minggang, deputy
editor-in-chief of Chinese Banker magazine, said on Saturday.
Ou told Xinhua during an interview that domestic banks and other financial
institutions bear the brunt of the widespread U.S. subprime mortgage crisis,
as those agencies' asset value and book earnings would dip to some extent.
"Currently the impact on domestic financial institutions is still limited,"
he said.
The Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, the country's largest lender,
said at the end of last month its 2007 net profit rose 64.9 percent
year-on-year to 82.3 billion yuan (11.7 billion U.S. dollars).
The Bank of China posted a 31.3 percent net profit rise in 2007 after
booking 1.3 billion U.S. dollars as an impairment allowance for its 4.99
billion U.S. dollars in investment in securities linked to U.S. subprime
mortgages by the end of last year.
However, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on April 8 that the
recent financial turbulence triggered by the collapse of the U.S. subprime
mortgage market could cost the global financial system to the tune of 945
billion U.S. dollars.
"The global financial system has undoubtedly come under increasing strains
since October 2007, and risks to financial stability remain elevated," the
IMF warned in its latest Global Financial Stability Report.
Ou said, "The crisis also made Chinese financial supervision regulators face
up to the challenges of balancing financial innovation and risks, which
requires them to push forward the reforms in the country's financial system
in a more cautious manner."
Experts warned that financial risks know no national boundaries and some
foreign capital has fled from the Chinese financial market as many banking
titans including Citigroup and Merrill Lynch were in deep water in credit
crisis.
China's benchmark Shanghai Composite Index, which covers both A and B
shares, shrank nearly half from the peak of 6124.04 points of Oct. 16 last
year to 3094.67 points on April 18.
The overnight announcement of a cut in share trading taxes drove Chinese
stocks 9.29 percent higher in soaring turnover on Thursday, with the key
Shanghai Composite Index up 304 points to 3,583.03, the largest gain since
Oct. 23, 2001.
Chinese regulators announced curbs on the sale of non-tradable shares that
come out of lock-up periods on April 20, another move to bolster the falling
market.
However, market observers held that the credit crisis and the U.S. economic
slowdown are still casting gloom over Chinese investors' confidence.
Experts said the crisis was spreading beyond the financial sector.
Consumption confidence in the United States is dampened as the credit crisis
unfolded, with Chinese exports also hurt.
From January to March, China's total exports rose 21 percent to206 billion
U.S. dollars, 6.4 percentage points lower than a year earlier. The exports
to the U.S. grew 5.4 percent to 53 billion yuan, 15 percentage points lower
than the same period of last year, according to customs statistics.
In the trade hub of southern Guangdong Province, the growth of exports to
the United States dwindled to 4.8 percent in the first quarter of this year
from 15.5 percent in the same period of 2007,said Wu Gongquan, vice
director-general with the province's department of foreign trade and
economic cooperation.
Zhang Yansheng, director of the International Economic Research Institute
under the National Development and Reform Commission, said China needs to
shift its economic driving force from relying on exports to domestic
consumption, technology upgrading and management innovation.
Ou added that the country should increase financial transfer payments to
help low-income families to consume more and boost the consumption in the
vast rural areas.
Experts suggested that Chinese exporters should upgrade their products mix
and open new markets besides their traditional key markets in the United
States and Europe.
Report: Chinese economy to
maintain 10% growth despite slowdown in 2008(2008/04/29)
Chinese Academy of Social
Sciences (CASS) predicted a 10.7 percent growth in the country's gross
domestic product (GDP) in 2008, though it said the speed would be slower
compared with the previous year.
The added value of the agricultural sector would increase by 3.2 percent,
and that of the industrial and the service industries would be 12.2 percent
and 10.9 percent respectively, according to a report released by CASS.
The fixed assets investment would hit 17.03 trillion yuan (about 2.43
trillion U.S. dollars), up 19.1 percent year-on-year, still significantly
higher than the growth of GDP and consumer price index (CPI), said the
report on China's economic situation in 2008.
The high-flying prices would decline in latter half as the government
policies start to pay off, but the annual commodity retail price index and
the CPI would still be around 4.4 percent and 5.5 percent, the report said.
The annual per capita disposable income in urban areas would gain 11.1
percent, and that in rural areas would increase by 7.3 percent. Both the
urban and rural income growth would be lower than 2007, the report said.
The total retail sales of consumer goods would for the first time rose above
10 trillion to 10.46 trillion yuan, and continue to be a major factor behind
national economic growth, said the report.
Import and export growth would slow down to 23.3 percent and 19 percent
because of the uncertainties in international economy, and the trade surplus
would be 270 billion U.S. dollars, said the report.
China posted a GDP growth of 11.9 percent in 2007, according to the results
of preliminary verification announced by the National Bureau of Statistics
early this month.
Slowdown, rising yuan put
exporters in tough spot(2008/04/28)
GUANGZHOU, April 23 (Xinhua) --
It's a tough choice this year for exporters at the trade fair here: fewer
orders or paper-thin profits.
The yuan is stronger and the world market is weaker, the result of the
unfolding credit crisis. And that's had an impact on the number of buyers
and orders for exporters who are attending the China Import and Export Fair
in Guangzhou, capital of the southern Guangdong Province.
Figures from the fair show 128,155 foreign buyers in attendance, 5.8 percent
fewer than the last spring fair. The number of U.S. purchasers decreased
23.3 percent and those from France and Germany were down 11.8 percent and
9.5 percent, respectively. "The decrease in U.S. and European Union buyers
will cut our orders by about 30 percent," said a representative of the
Shenzhen Lianchuang Company, which exports household appliances to the
United States and Europe.
Other firms also felt the pinch, with few buyers visiting their booths and
fewer signed contracts.
"Chinese goods are popular among U.S. customers, but we have to reduce our
purchases because of decreasing U.S. demand," Ben Noonan, sourcing manager
of Smartful Home, a U.S. textile importer, told Xinhua.
China's exporters have been complaining about losing orders as a result of
the change in the value of the yuan, which has risen almost 4.6 percent
against the U.S. dollar this year, making "Madein China" more expensive.
Customs statistics showed China's exports to the United States rose 5.4
percent year-on-year in the first quarter, a deceleration of 15 percentage
points compared with the same 2007 period. Exports to the EU grew 24.2
percent, 10.3 percentage points lower.
Before the fair, there was talk that some Chinese exhibitors might hike
prices and pass through the higher costs of raw materials and labor. But
most found that they had to compete on prices to win any orders at all.
There were more buyers from new markets, including Africa and South America
countries, but they were there for bargains, so price increases could scare
them off, said Yu Hong, of China Minmetals Non-ferrous Metals Co..
If the pressure of rising costs cannot be passed on, Chinese manufacturers
would be further pinched during the second half of this year, Yu said.
The fair, also known as the "Canton fair" after the city's old name, was
considered as the "barometer" of the country's foreign trade. It was
originally a biannual export-promotion event until the 101st session in the
Spring of 2007, when its name officially changed to the present name of the
China Import and Export Fair from the Chinese Export Commodities Fair.
The fair has two phases this year, from April 15 to 20 and from April 25 to
30. The first phase featured textiles, garments, health products, household
appliances, tools, small vehicles and hardware. Food, tea, kitchenware,
decorations, toys, sporting goods, and office supplies will be on show in
the second phase.
China cuts stock stamp tax to
0.1% to support market(2008/04/25)
(Xinhua) -- The Chinese
government on Wednesday announced it is to cut the share trading stamp tax
from 0.3 percent to 0.1 percent from April 24 in an effort to boost the
equities market, which has fallen 46 percent from its record high on Oct.
16.
Experts expected the long-expected concrete support measure to give a strong
boost to weak investor sentiment, following heavy sell-offs this year.
The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index closed 4.15 percent higher at
3,278.33 on Wednesday, before the tax cut announcement. Despite the rise, it
has dropped 37.7 percent this year after almost doubling last year.
After approval from the State Council, or Cabinet, the Ministry of Finance (MOF)
and State Administration of Taxation (SAT) decided to cut the transaction
tax, said a government statement.
The tax would be levied on both sides of the transaction, said the
statement.
The government raised the stamp tax to 0.3 percent from 0.1 percent on May
30 last year, in a bid to cool the stock market.
Qiu Yanying, an analyst at TX Investment Consulting Co., said the move
showed the government's desire to see a stable market and would help to
restore investor confidence.
"Confidence in recovery is more important than fund injections," said Qiu.
"After earlier panic and irrational selling amid a breakdown in confidence,
it is hard for the market to return to normal."
"It was no longer a question of investment, but confidence," said Li Feng,
an analyst at Galaxy Securities.
Qiu said the move was timely, an if it had been delayed, it could have
triggered heavy losses and become less effective.
"Three thousand points is an important threshold for both regulator and
investors and a sustained decline below the mark could be disastrous to
investor confidence and trigger further selling."
The key Shanghai index dropped below 3,000 points only briefly on Tuesday,
before bargain hunting pushed it to close 0.99 percent higher at 3,147.79.
"Further market declines can also have a huge negative impact on the
economy," said Cao Fengqi, head of Peking University's finance and
securities research center.
Analysts said a prolonged fall would hurt consumer spending, an increasingly
important driver behind the country's economy with exports growth slowing on
signs of a U.S. recession.
First-quarter losses by 346 mutual funds in China reached 647.5billion yuan
(93 billion U.S. dollars), eight times the amount of the previous quarter,
according to TX Investment Consulting.
The latest move followed a couple of recent support measures. The China
Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) on Sunday ordered block trading for
bulk sale of shares freed from the lock-up period and said Monday it had
punished two fund managers for insider trading.
When more than 1 percent of a listed firm's total shares are sold within a
month, the trade should be conducted through a separate block trading system
operated by the Shanghai and Shenzhen exchanges, the CSRC said.
Li added the market was expected to see a sustained rebound in the second
quarter on low valuations, an ease in liquidity pressure, and no lower than
30 percent growth for first-quarter corporate profits.
Slowdown, rising yuan put
exporters in tough spot (2008/04/24)
(Xinhua) -- It's a tough choice this
year for exporters at the trade fair here: fewer orders or paper-thin
profits.
The yuan is stronger and the world market is weaker, the result of the
unfolding credit crisis. And that's had an impact on the number of buyers
and orders for exporters who are attending the China Import and Export Fair
in Guangzhou, capital of the southern Guangdong Province.
Figures from the fair show 128,155 foreign buyers in attendance, 5.8 percent
fewer than the last spring fair. The number of U.S. purchasers decreased
23.3 percent and those from France and Germany were down 11.8 percent and
9.5 percent, respectively. "The decrease in U.S. and European Union buyers
will cut our orders by about 30 percent," said a representative of the
Shenzhen Lianchuang Company, which exports household appliances to the
United States and Europe.
Other firms also felt the pinch, with few buyers visiting their booths and
fewer signed contracts.
"Chinese goods are popular among U.S. customers, but we have to reduce our
purchases because of decreasing U.S. demand," Ben Noonan, sourcing manager
of Smartful Home, a U.S. textile importer, told Xinhua.
China's exporters have been complaining about losing orders as a result of
the change in the value of the yuan, which has risen almost 4.6 percent
against the U.S. dollar this year, making "Madein China" more expensive.
Customs statistics showed China's exports to the United States rose 5.4
percent year-on-year in the first quarter, a deceleration of 15 percentage
points compared with the same 2007 period. Exports to the EU grew 24.2
percent, 10.3 percentage points lower.
Before the fair, there was talk that some Chinese exhibitors might hike
prices and pass through the higher costs of raw materials and labor. But
most found that they had to compete on prices to win any orders at all.
There were more buyers from new markets, including Africa and South America
countries, but they were there for bargains, so price increases could scare
them off, said Yu Hong, of China Minmetals Non-ferrous Metals Co..
If the pressure of rising costs cannot be passed on, Chinese manufacturers
would be further pinched during the second ha |